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Digiday+ Research check-in: Publishers are optimistically pessimistic about a recession

We’re in the midst of an economic downturn, and the scent of a recession is in the air. While publishers are pessimistic in that they agree a recession is going to happen, they are fairly optimistic that it won’t be a bad one.

Over the summer, Digiday+ Research asked publishers for their attitudes on a potential recession and found that about two-thirds agreed that a recession would occur in the next six to 12 months, while more than a third said their companies hadn’t done anything to prepare. This fall, Digiday checked in with publishers on the subject and found that there is even more consensus that a recession is on the horizon. So we asked the 76 publisher professionals to weigh in on what they think that recession will look like.

Digiday’s survey found that the number of publishers who think a recession is coming has shot up since the summer. Just a few months ago, 67% of respondents said they agreed a recession would occur in the next six months and 65% said they agreed a recession would happen in the next 12 months. In Digiday’s most recent survey, a whopping 87% of publisher pros said they believe we’re entering into a recession.

So at this point, it’s safe to say almost the whole industry agrees that there will be a recession.

Digiday’s survey found that there is less of a consensus among publishers about how a recession would play out, however.

A significant majority of publishers said they think we’re entering into a shallow recession, rather than a deep one. Sixty-three percent of respondents to Digiday’s survey said they believe we will experience a shallow recession, compared with 37% who said a recession would be deep.

Publishers are even more split when it comes to how long they think a recession would be – in fact, they are almost split exactly 50-50, according to Digiday’s survey. To be exact, 51% of respondents said they believe we’re entering into a long recession, compared with 49% who said they believe a recession will be short.

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